Henan2 - 1Guangzhou City
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, July 3 at 1pm in Chinese Super League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Shandong Taishan | 9 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 8 | 9 | 17 |
3 | Shanghai Shenhua | 8 | 6 | 17 |
Sunday, July 3 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
18 | Guangzhou City | 8 | -18 | 0 |
We said: Henan Songshan Longmen 3-1 Guangzhou City
Guangzhou City have failed to get going so far and it is hard to see them coming away with anything from this one. We expect Henan to cruise to all three points in what should be a largely one-sided affair. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Songshan Longmen win with a probability of 60.92%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 16.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan Songshan Longmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.3%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Henan Songshan Longmen would win this match.
Result | ||
Henan Songshan Longmen | Draw | Guangzhou City |
60.92% ( -0.06) | 23.03% ( -0.02) | 16.05% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 44.54% ( 0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.43% ( 0.2) | 53.57% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.92% ( 0.17) | 75.08% ( -0.17) |
Henan Songshan Longmen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.78% ( 0.05) | 17.21% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.5% ( 0.09) | 47.5% ( -0.09) |
Guangzhou City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.8% ( 0.23) | 46.19% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.13% ( 0.17) | 81.87% ( -0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Henan Songshan Longmen | Draw | Guangzhou City |
1-0 @ 13.99% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 12.3% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.18% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.12% 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 60.91% | 1-1 @ 10.8% 0-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.6% Total : 23.03% | 0-1 @ 6.14% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.34% Total : 16.05% |
How you voted: Henan vs Guangzhou City
Boxuan (32'), Luo (78'), Chow (90+3')
Dourado (60'), Boxuan (84')
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Shanghai PortShanghai Port | 30 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 30 | 66 | 78 |
2 | Shanghai ShenhuaSh. Shenhua | 30 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 73 | 20 | 53 | 77 |
3 | Chengdu RongchengChengdu | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 65 | 31 | 34 | 59 |
4 | Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 65 | 35 | 30 | 56 |
5 | Shandong TaishanShandong | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 48 |
6 | Tianjin Jinmen TigerTianjin Jinmen | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 44 | 47 | -3 | 42 |
7 | Zhejiang ProfessionalZhejiang | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 38 |
8 | HenanHenan | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Changchun YataiChangchun | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 32 |
10 | Qingdao Youth Island | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 41 | 58 | -17 | 32 |
11 | Wuhan Three TownsWuhan TT | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 31 |
12 | Cangzhou Mighty LionsCangzhou | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 33 | 57 | -24 | 29 |
13 | Sichuan JiuniuSichuan | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 55 | -26 | 29 |
14 | Qingdao Hainiu | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 55 | -27 | 29 |
15 | Meizhou Hakka | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 55 | -26 | 27 |
16 | Nantong Zhiyun | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 32 | 66 | -34 | 22 |
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