Chinese Super League | Gameweek 4

Jun 15, 2022 at 12.30pm UK

Yuexiushan Stadium

Guangzhou City
0 - 3
Henan

Gong (11')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Dourado (37'), Han (56'), Boxuan (90+1')
Du (25'), Ma (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Chinese Super League clash between Guangzhou City and Henan Songshan Longmen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Guangzhou City 1-3 Henan Songshan Longmen

While Guangzhou City are yet to pick up a point, Henan are currently riding a crest of a wave after collecting seven points from their opening three matches, and we think that the visitors will utilise the momentum gained from those results to claim three points on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Songshan Longmen win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Henan Songshan Longmen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Guangzhou City win was 1-0 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Henan Songshan Longmen would win this match.

Result
Guangzhou City	Draw	Henan Songshan Longmen
33.22% ( -0.04)	27.03% ( 0)	39.75% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 50.43% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.19% (

-0)

54.81% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.89% (

-0)

76.12% (

0.01)

Guangzhou City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.06% (

-0.03)

30.94% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.77% (

-0.03)

67.23% (

0.03)

Henan Songshan Longmen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.02% (

0.02)

26.98% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.67% (

0.02)

62.33% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Guangzhou City 33.22%

Henan Songshan Longmen 39.74%

Draw 27.02%

Guangzhou City	Draw	Henan Songshan Longmen
1-0 @ 9.79% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.94% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.25% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0) Other @ 3.04% Total : 33.22%	1-1 @ 12.82% 0-0 @ 8.35% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.02%	0-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.4% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.67% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 39.74%