Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 60.76%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 17.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.37%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Beijing Guoan win it was 1-0 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.