Guangzhou
1 - 0
Beijing Guoan

Deng (40')
Deng (57')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Zhongguo (25'), Cao (42')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Guangzhou and Beijing Guoan.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou win with a probability of 45.88%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guangzhou would win this match.

Result
Guangzhou	Draw	Beijing Guoan
45.88%	24.27%	29.85%

Both teams to score 58.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.69%

44.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.31%

66.69%

Guangzhou Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.54%

19.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.69%

51.31%

Beijing Guoan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.07%

27.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.44%

63.56%

Score Analysis

Guangzhou 45.88%

Beijing Guoan 29.85%

Draw 24.27%

Guangzhou	Draw	Beijing Guoan
2-1 @ 9.29% 1-0 @ 8.9% 2-0 @ 7.28% 3-1 @ 5.07% 3-0 @ 3.97% 3-2 @ 3.23% 4-1 @ 2.07% 4-0 @ 1.63% 4-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.12% Total : 45.88%	1-1 @ 11.34% 2-2 @ 5.92% 0-0 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.27%	1-2 @ 7.24% 0-1 @ 6.93% 0-2 @ 4.42% 1-3 @ 3.08% 2-3 @ 2.52% 0-3 @ 1.88% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.81% Total : 29.85%