Shandong

2 - 1

Beijing Guoan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 61.36%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 16.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.76%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Beijing Guoan win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.