Following trouble both in the stands and on the pitch last week, Hamrun are likely to experience more of the latter when they reconvene with Maccabi Haifa in Israel. While their hosts may take the opportunity to rotate their resources and experiment, there is still a gulf in class between the two sides which surely cannot be bridged. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Haifa win with a probability of 46.72%. A win for Hamrun Spartans had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Haifa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Hamrun Spartans win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Maccabi Haifa would win this match.

Result
Maccabi Haifa	Draw	Hamrun Spartans
46.72% ( 0.05)	24.48% ( -0.01)	28.8% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 56.66%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.16% (

0.01)

45.83% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.85% (

0.01)

68.15% (

-0.01)

Maccabi Haifa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.28% (

0.02)

19.72% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.27% (

0.04)

51.73% (

-0.04)

Hamrun Spartans Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.57% (

-0.02)

29.43% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.57% (

-0.03)

65.43% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Maccabi Haifa 46.72%

Hamrun Spartans 28.8%

Draw 24.48%

Maccabi Haifa	Draw	Hamrun Spartans
1-0 @ 9.42% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.06% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 3% Total : 46.72%	1-1 @ 11.52% 0-0 @ 5.8% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.48%	0-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.87% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.77% ( -0) Other @ 3.34% Total : 28.8%