Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 28, 2022 at 7pm UK
MFA Centenary Stadium
Hamrun Spartans1 - 0Velez
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Hamrun Spartans and Velez.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Velez 0-1 Hamrun Spartans
Thursday, July 21 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 21 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamrun Spartans win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Velez had a probability of 30.93% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamrun Spartans win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.06%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Velez win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamrun Spartans would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hamrun Spartans | Draw | Velez |
| 46.18% | 22.89% ( 0.01) | 30.93% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 63.65% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
