Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez win with a probability of 49.5%. A win for Hamrun Spartans had a probability of 26.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Hamrun Spartans win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Velez	Draw	Hamrun Spartans
49.5%	23.86%	26.64%

Both teams to score 57.06%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.46%

44.53%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.1%

66.9%

Velez Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.91%

18.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.99%

49.01%

Hamrun Spartans Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.65%

30.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.46%

66.53%

Score Analysis

Velez 49.5%

Hamrun Spartans 26.64%

Draw 23.86%

Velez	Draw	Hamrun Spartans
2-1 @ 9.57% 1-0 @ 9.38% 2-0 @ 8.03% 3-1 @ 5.46% 3-0 @ 4.58% 3-2 @ 3.25% 4-1 @ 2.33% 4-0 @ 1.96% 4-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.56% Total : 49.5%	1-1 @ 11.19% 2-2 @ 5.71% 0-0 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.86%	1-2 @ 6.67% 0-1 @ 6.54% 0-2 @ 3.9% 1-3 @ 2.65% 2-3 @ 2.27% 0-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 3.05% Total : 26.64%