Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2022 at 6.30pm UK
Vivacom Arena - Georgi Asparuhov
Levski Sofia0 - 1Hamrun Spartans
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Levski Sofia and Hamrun Spartans.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: PAOK 1-1 Levski Sofia
Thursday, July 28 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 28 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Hamrun Spartans 1-0 Velez
Thursday, July 28 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 28 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Levski Sofia win with a probability of 47.15%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Hamrun Spartans had a probability of 26.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Levski Sofia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Hamrun Spartans win it was 0-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Levski Sofia | Draw | Hamrun Spartans |
47.15% ( 0.01) | 26.62% ( -0.01) | 26.23% |
Both teams to score 48.15% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.95% ( 0.02) | 56.05% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.87% ( 0.02) | 77.13% ( -0.02) |
Levski Sofia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.22% ( 0.01) | 23.78% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.07% ( 0.02) | 57.93% ( -0.02) |
Hamrun Spartans Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.17% ( 0.02) | 36.83% ( -0.02) |