Champions League

Champions League | Last 16 | 1st Leg

Feb 16, 2022 at 8pm UK

San Siro

Inter Milan
0 - 2
Liverpool

(Liverpool win 2-1 on aggregate)

FT(HT: 0-0)

Firmino (75'), Salah (83')

Jurgen Klopp: 'Liverpool a deserved winner against Inter Milan'

Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp insists that his side deserved their 2-0 win over Inter Milan in the first leg of their Champions League last 16 tie.

Feb 17, 08:32

Liverpool attacker Diogo Jota pictured on February 10, 2022

Diogo Jota suffers ankle injury in Liverpool win over Inter Milan

Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp confirms that Diogo Jota suffered an ankle injury during his side's 2-0 Champions League win over Inter Milan at San Siro.

Feb 17, 08:23

Jurgen Klopp praises Liverpool substitutes after win over Inter Milan

Jurgen Klopp praises the impact of his Liverpool substitutes after they played a key part in the Premier League club's 2-0 victory at Inter Milan in the Champions League.

Feb 16, 23:44

The Match

We said: Inter Milan 1-2 Liverpool

While Liverpool will be the favourites to win on Wednesday, Inter will also fancy their chances of securing a first-leg advantage in front of their home supporters. The Reds have conceded in each of their last four Champions League away matches, but they should have enough quality in the final third to outscore their opponents and return to Anfield with a slender lead. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	Liverpool
45.01%	23.38%	31.62%

Both teams to score 62.22%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.76%

39.24%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.43%

61.57%

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.21%

17.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.49%

48.51%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.69%

24.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.31%

58.69%

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 45.01%

Liverpool 31.62%

Draw 23.38%

Inter Milan	Draw	Liverpool
2-1 @ 9.12% 1-0 @ 7.47% 2-0 @ 6.45% 3-1 @ 5.25% 3-2 @ 3.71% 3-0 @ 3.71% 4-1 @ 2.26% 4-0 @ 1.6% 4-2 @ 1.6% Other @ 3.85% Total : 45.01%	1-1 @ 10.56% 2-2 @ 6.45% 0-0 @ 4.33% 3-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.38%	1-2 @ 7.47% 0-1 @ 6.12% 0-2 @ 4.33% 1-3 @ 3.52% 2-3 @ 3.04% 0-3 @ 2.04% 1-4 @ 1.25% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.78% Total : 31.62%