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Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Dec 7, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Holstein-Stadion
Leipzig logo

Holstein Kiel
0 - 2
RB Leipzig


Gigovic (36'), Weiner (67'), Schulz (68'), Bernhardsson (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sesko (27'), Silva (69' pen.)
Openda (56'), Vermeeren (74'), Henrichs (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Pauli 3-1 Holstein Kiel
Friday, November 29 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-0 Frankfurt
Wednesday, December 4 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Holstein Kiel 1-3 RB Leipzig

Though Leipzig have been in poor form, it is difficult to see them failing to achieve victory given the struggles of their hosts. Leipzig could start the game nervously given they will head into the clash as favourites, but their quality should be enough to take home all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 49.57%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.86%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
Holstein KielDrawRB Leipzig
27.59% (-0.176 -0.18) 22.83% (0.055 0.05) 49.57% (0.125 0.13)
Both teams to score 61.47% (-0.349 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.93% (-0.396 -0.4)39.07% (0.4 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.6% (-0.417 -0.42)61.39% (0.42 0.42)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.19% (-0.325 -0.33)26.81% (0.327 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.9% (-0.432 -0.43)62.1% (0.436 0.44)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.99% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)16.01% (0.104 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.67% (-0.188 -0.19)45.33% (0.192 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Holstein Kiel 27.59%
    RB Leipzig 49.57%
    Draw 22.82%
Holstein KielDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 6.81% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.65% (0.053 0.05)
2-0 @ 3.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 2.99% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.63% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.9% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 27.59%
1-1 @ 10.34% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.24% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.29% (0.08 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.67% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.82%
1-2 @ 9.48% (0.023 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.86% (0.12 0.12)
0-2 @ 7.2% (0.084 0.08)
1-3 @ 5.79% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.4% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.81% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.02% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.75% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-5 @ 0.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 49.57%

How you voted: Holstein Kiel vs RB Leipzig

Holstein Kiel
13.7%
Draw
11.8%
RB Leipzig
74.5%
51
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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