Palmeiras

2 - 1

Bragantino

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 51.52%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 23.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.