Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 69.94%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Goias had a probability of 11.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.67%) and 1-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Goias win it was 1-0 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.