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[monks data]
Boavista
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Jan 26, 2021 at 9.15pm UK
Estádio do Bessa
Sporting Lisbon

Boavista
0 - 2
Sporting Lisbon


Paulinho (87'), Nathan (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Santos (24'), Porro (77')
Palhinha (79'), Mario (79')

Preview: Boavista vs. Sporting Lisbon - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Primeira Liga clash between Boavista and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Top of the league takes on bottom of the league on Tuesday evening as Boavista welcome Sporting Lisbon to the Estadio do Bessa in the Portuguese Primeira Liga.

The visitors will be full of confidence following their League Cup victory over the weekend and will want to maintain their four-point lead at the top of the table.


Match preview

Sporting Lisbon's Pedro Goncalves celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates in January 2021© Reuters

Boavista are marooned at the foot of the Primeira Liga standings after picking up just 11 points from their opening 14 league matches.

Jesualdo Ferreira's men have only won one league game throughout 2020-21, a surprise 3-0 victory over Benfica back in November.

However, Os Axadrezados have failed to build on that impressive result, collecting just five points from their following eight outings.

It is at the back where Boavista's troubles have occurred this season. They have the second-worst defensive record in the division having conceded 24 goals to date, largely thanks to a 5-0 loss to Porto and a 4-1 defeat by Braga.

If Ferreira's side want to maintain their top-flight status for another year, then they will have to address their defensive woes sooner rather than later, but starting in midweek may be beyond them considering they are coming up against one of the best attacks in the country.

Sporting Lisbon players celebrate winning the Taca da Liga with the trophy on January 23, 2021© Reuters

The last time Sporting were crowned Portuguese champions was in 2002. However, under the tutelage of Ruben Amorim, it seems as though their long wait for another Primeira Liga title could be coming to an end.

Amorim is only in his second managerial role, but the 35-year-old head coach has impressed in the early stages of his new career.

The former midfield man has guided the Verde e Brancos to the top of the table after winning 11 and drawing three of their first 14 league games.

A 1-0 victory over Braga in the League Cup final over the weekend saw silverware return to the Estadio Jose Alvalade for the first time since 2019 and will fill the capital club with belief that 2020-21 can be the season that they finally break Benfica and Porto's domestic dominance.

Only a win will do for Amorim's men against the division's basement side as the title race starts to take shape in Portugal.

Boavista Primeira Liga form: DDLDDL
Boavista form (all competitions): LDLDDL

Sporting Lisbon Primeira Liga form: DWWWWD
Sporting Lisbon form (all competitions): WWLDWW


Team News

Sporting Lisbon's Pedro Goncalves celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates© Reuters

Ferreira will be unable to call upon the services of 21-year-old midfielder Miguel Reisinho after the former Portugal Under-20 international ruptured his cruciate ligament in November.

Centre-back pair Chidozie Awaziem and Cristian Devenish are both suspended for the visit of the league leaders, meaning former AC Milan and Valencia defender Adil Rami is likely to make his sixth start of the campaign.

Several Portuguese clubs have been affected by a coronavirus outbreak, and Sporting are one of those sides.

Right-winger Tabata is having to self-isolate after returning a positive COVID-19 test result and is joined on the sidelines by Luiz Phellype, who continues to suffer from a cruciate ligament injury.

Boavista possible starting lineup:
Leonardo; Mangas, Rami, Porozo, Cannon; Santos, Garcia, Paulinho; Elis, Gomes, Sauer

Sporting Lisbon possible starting lineup:
Adan; Inacio, Coates, Feddal; Porro, Mario, Palhinha, Mendes; Goncalves, Cabral; Tomas


SM words green background

We say: Boavista 0-3 Sporting Lisbon

Sporting are chasing their first league title in 19 years and are looking relentless in their pursuit. The disparity between the two teams is vast, and we expect Sporting to run out comfortable winners in midweek.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 64.16%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 13.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.42%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Boavista vs Sporting Lisbon

Boavista
7.8%
Draw
5.2%
Sporting Lisbon
87.0%
77
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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