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Barcelona logo
La Liga | Gameweek 12
Oct 30, 2021 at 8pm UK
Camp Nou
Alaves logo

Barcelona
1 - 1
Alaves

Depay (49')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rioja (52')
Sivera (45+5'), Duarte (82')

Preview: Barcelona vs. Alaves - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Barcelona and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Barcelona, who are languishing down in ninth position in the La Liga table, will start life after Ronald Koeman with a clash at home to Alaves on Saturday night.

The Catalan giants sacked Koeman as head coach following Wednesday's 1-0 loss to Rayo Vallecano, and Barcelona B boss Sergi Barjuan has been appointed as first-team manager on an interim basis.


Match preview

Barcelona's Memphis Depay celebrates scoring their second goal with Eric Garcia on October 17, 2021© Reuters

In truth, Koeman's departure on Wednesday evening did not come as a surprise, with the Dutchman under severe pressure at Camp Nou due to a disappointing start to the campaign.

Barcelona president Joan Laporta decided against sacking the head coach after the 2-1 loss to Real Madrid last weekend, but Wednesday's defeat at Rayo proved to be Koeman's last act, with the club's former centre-back allegedly informed that he was being relieved of his duties during the flight home from Madrid.

As mentioned, Barcelona B boss Barjuan has been placed in charge on an interim basis, with the club working to appoint Xavi as their long-term manager, and the legendary midfielder has reportedly already agreed terms with his former team, although an exit from Al Sadd still needs to be agreed.

A record of four wins, three draws and three defeats from 10 matches has seen the Catalan outfit collect 15 points, which has left them down in ninth position in the table as things stand.

There is still more than enough time for the season to turn around, though, and Xavi - if he arrives - will inherit a squad packed full of talented youngsters and one which is certainly capable of pushing high up the table in the coming months with the right guidance.

Alaves coach Javier Calleja reacts on September 25, 2021© Reuters

Alaves will be tasked with inflicting more damage on Barcelona this weekend, but the Basque outfit suffered a 5-1 defeat when they last travelled to Camp Nou back in February.

Javi Calleja's side are actually the only side in La Liga yet to draw a match this term, having won three and lost seven of their 10 fixtures, which has brought them nine points and left them in 16th spot in the table.

Alaves should be full of confidence entering Saturday's match, as they have picked up maximum points from their last two fixtures, winning 2-0 at Cadiz last weekend before recording a 1-0 victory over Elche on Tuesday, with Mamadou Loum netting the only goal of the contest in the second period.

El Glorioso are actually in their sixth straight season at this level of football, but they have ended the last two campaigns in 16th and could face a battle against the drop once again.

If given the chance, Alaves would surely liked to have tackled Barcelona under Koeman's leadership due to the issues that were present, and a change at the helm could make this a very difficult assignment for the visitors.

Barcelona La Liga form:
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L

Barcelona form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L

Alaves La Liga form:
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W



Team News

Ansu Fati in action for Barcelona in October 2021© Reuters

Barcelona still have a number of injury problems, with Ansu Fati, Frenkie de Jong, Ronald Araujo, Pedri, Martin Braithwaite and Ousmane Dembele all either ruled out or major doubts.

The Catalan outfit will not want to take any chances, particularly with the likes of Fati, Pedri and Dembele, so it would not be a surprise to see all three miss out once again.

The squad should be similar to the one available against Rayo, but there are expected to be changes, with Yusuf Demir and Gavi pushing to be involved in the starting XI, while Sergi Roberto could move into midfield, opening the door for Sergino Dest to drop back into the right-back spot.

As for Alaves, Fernando Pacheco had to be replaced against Elche due to a problem that he picked up in the latter stages of the contest, but the goalkeeper is expected to recover in time for this match.

The visitors have no other injury concerns, and it would not be a surprise to see the majority of the XI that started last time out again take to the field here.

However, Calleja could decide to freshen his side in a couple of positions, with Toni Moya potentially coming into the midfield, while Manu Garcia could get the nod in the number 10 spot.

Barcelona possible starting lineup:
Ter Stegen; Dest, Pique, Garcia, Alba; Busquets, Gavi, Roberto; Demir, Aguero, Memphis

Alaves possible starting lineup:
Pacheco; Navarro, Laguardia, Lejeune, Duarte; Moya, Loum; Pellistri, Garcia, Rioja; Joselu


SM words green background

We say: Barcelona 3-1 Alaves

For all of Barcelona's problems this season, there is still so much quality in their squad. Alaves will be feeling good about themselves after successive victories, but we believe that the home side will return to winning ways in relatively routine fashion.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Written by
Matt Law

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 73.21%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 9.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.97%) and 3-0 (10.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.14%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Barcelona vs Alaves

Barcelona
86.4%
Draw
5.3%
Alaves
8.3%
132
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Barcelona attacker Pedri pictured in February 2021
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona15111343162734
2Real Madrid14103130111933
3Atletico MadridAtletico159512681832
4Athletic Bilbao157532214826
5Villarreal147522723426
6Mallorca157351513224
7Osasuna156542023-323
8GironaGirona156452220222
9Real Sociedad156361311221
10Real BetisBetis155551618-220
11Sevilla155461419-519
12Celta Vigo155372327-418
13Rayo Vallecano144461416-216
14Las PalmasLas Palmas154382026-615
15Leganes153661420-615
16AlavesAlaves154291625-914
17Getafe152761013-313
18Espanyol144191527-1213
19Valencia132471321-810
20Real ValladolidValladolid1523101032-229


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