Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 73.21%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 9.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.97%) and 3-0 (10.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.14%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.