Asian Cup | Group Stage
Jan 24, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Al Thumama Stadium
Japan3 - 1Indonesia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Iraq 2-1 Japan
Friday, January 19 at 11.30am in Asian Cup
Friday, January 19 at 11.30am in Asian Cup
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Iraq | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Japan | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Indonesia | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Vietnam | 2 | -3 | 0 |
We said: Japan 3-0 Indonesia
As well as Indonesia have played to this point of the competition, they are facing a Japanese side in a foul mood after being frustrated by Iraq, and we expect the Samurai Blue to take out those frustrations on Tim Garuda and win this contest in convincing fashion. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 59.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Indonesia had a probability of 19.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 1-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Indonesia win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Japan | Draw | Indonesia |
59.44% ( -0.93) | 21.22% ( 0.45) | 19.34% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 56.51% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
