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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 20, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Diego Armando Maradona

Argentinos Jrs
2 - 0
Nacional

Avalos (25'), Herrera (88')
Gomez (15'), Moyano (36'), Quintana (41')
Quintana (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Candido (17'), D'Alessandro (35'), Corujo (45+3'), Bergessio (48'), Fernandez (75')

Preview: Argentinos Juniors vs. Nacional - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Argentinos Juniors and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Argentinos Juniors welcome Club Nacional to Buenos Aires on Tuesday, in the opening round of fixtures in the Copa Libertadores group stage.

The visitors will look to extend their three-game winning run in all competitions, while the Argentinian outfit have drawn their last three matches domestically.


Match preview

Argentinos Juniors qualified for this year's Copa Libertadores with a fifth-placed finish in the Argentine Primera Division last season.

While that extended their run without a domestic title, with their last trophy coming in 2010, the three-time Argentinian champions will be more than happy with continental qualification.

El Bicho have had a mixed start on the domestic front this season though, currently sitting in ninth place with twelve points from their first 10 league matches.

They salvaged a 1-1 draw against San Lorenzo last time out, as Gabriel Hauche netted an equaliser in the 72nd minute to take home a point.

The appointment of former Argentina centre-back Gabriel Milito as manager in January has failed to trigger a major upturn for Argentinos Juniors, with only three wins coming from those 10 league games in Milito's first season at the helm.

However, the Copa Libertadores gives El Bicho a chance to prove themselves against strong opposition, and Milito will be desperate for his side to make a winning start against the Uruguayan champions on Tuesday.

The visitors will look to stretch their winning run to four games with what would be an important victory to kickstart their Copa Libertadores campaign.

Nacional come into this game on the back of a 4-0 aggregate victory over Rentistas in the Uruguayan Primera Division final.

A Gonzalo Bergessio brace and a Mathias Laborda goal gave them a 3-0 lead going into the second leg, and Bergessio capped off a strong performance with another goal in the away leg.

The Uruguayan giants have lifted the Copa Libertadores three times in the club's history, although their last title came in 1988.

Alejandro Cappuccio's side will have their sights set on a victory to kick off their campaign on Tuesday, as they look to qualify and boost their bid for a first title in over 30 years.

Argentinos Juniors form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • D

Nacional form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W



Team News

Gabriel Hauche will be pushing for a return to the Argentinos Juniors starting side on Tuesday, after he netted the equaliser off the bench last time out.

He will have to compete for a starting spot with Gabriel Avalos, who has been preferred in attack in recent weeks.

At the other end of the pitch, Carlos Quintana, Miguel Torren and Kevin Mac Allister could reform the back three, shielding Lucas Chavez in goal.

Nacional's line will be led by Gonzalo Bergessio, who netted three goals in the 4-0 aggregate victory over Rentistas.

He will be supported by the attacking threat of midfielder Felipe Carballo, who has been a key man since his January move from Spanish side Sevilla.

Argentinos Juniors possible starting lineup:
Chavez; Mac Allister, Torren, Quintana; Romero, Moyano, Vera, Gomez; Cabrera, Hauche, Carabajal

Nacional possible starting lineup:
Rochet; Mendez, Corujo, Marichal, Velazquez; Ocampo, Carballo, Martinez, Garcia; Bergessio, Vecino


SM words green background

We say: Argentinos Juniors 1-2 Nacional

The visitors come into this game in a strong run of form, and we see their momentum carrying them to another important victory on Tuesday.

Nacional have plenty of experience on the continental stage, and we would expect that to see them over the line in Buenos Aires.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 37.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Argentinos Jrs vs Nacional

Argentinos Juniors
28.6%
Draw
14.3%
Nacional
57.1%
7
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