Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 22
Jul 1, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Jose Amalfitani
Velez Sarsfield1 - 0Arsenal
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tigre 2-1 Velez Sarsfield
Thursday, June 22 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Thursday, June 22 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
20
Last Game: Arsenal 0-2 Platense
Sunday, June 25 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, June 25 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
15
We said: Velez Sarsfield 1-1 Arsenal Sarandi
Arsenal have a poor record when travelling to the capital to face Velez, but many of their meetings have ended in draws. With both sides woefully out of form, a similar outcome could ensue, and that would hardly benefit either side greatly. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 60.86%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 15.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.88%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Velez Sarsfield in this match.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
60.86% ( 0.05) | 23.65% ( -0.03) | 15.48% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 41.76% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
