Arsenal have a poor record when travelling to the capital to face Velez, but many of their meetings have ended in draws. With both sides woefully out of form, a similar outcome could ensue, and that would hardly benefit either side greatly. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 60.86%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 15.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.88%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Velez Sarsfield in this match.

Result
Velez Sarsfield	Draw	Arsenal Sarandi
60.86% ( 0.05)	23.65% ( -0.03)	15.48% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 41.76% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.32% (

0.07)

56.68% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.36% (

0.05)

77.63% (

-0.06)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.63% (

0.04)

18.37% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.5% (

0.07)

49.49% (

-0.08)

Arsenal Sarandi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.15% (

0.01)

48.84% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.16% (

83.84% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Velez Sarsfield 60.86%

Arsenal Sarandi 15.48%

Draw 23.65%

Velez Sarsfield	Draw	Arsenal Sarandi
1-0 @ 15.2% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 12.88% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.86% Total : 60.86%	1-1 @ 10.89% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.31% ( 0) Other @ 0.48% Total : 23.65%	0-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.9% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.3% ( -0) 1-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 15.48%