Even though they dropped their last home fixture on Wednesday, El Bicho play with a lot more structure and balance on their home field. We expect them to use the crowd to their advantage again on Monday while also finding a way through a side who have conceded the second-most goals (10) in the second phase of this competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 57.01%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Tigre had a probability of 18.91%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Tigre win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Argentinos Juniors in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Argentinos Juniors.

Result
Argentinos Juniors	Draw	Tigre
57.01% ( 0.41)	24.07% ( -0.34)	18.91% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 46.8% (

0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.61% (

1.17)

53.39% (

-1.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.08% (

0.98)

74.92% (

-0.98)

Argentinos Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.43% (

0.6)

18.57% (

-0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.17% (

49.83% (

-1)

Tigre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.47% (

0.61)

42.53% (

-0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.11% (

0.52)

78.89% (

-0.51)

Score Analysis

Argentinos Juniors 57.01%

Tigre 18.91%

Draw 24.06%

Argentinos Juniors	Draw	Tigre
1-0 @ 13.29% ( -0.36) 2-0 @ 11.19% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.13% Total : 57.01%	1-1 @ 11.36% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.72% Total : 24.06%	0-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.87% Total : 18.91%