Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 1
Aug 21, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Diego Armando Maradona
Argentinos Jrs3 - 2River Plate
FT(HT: 2-2)
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Argentinos Juniors and River Plate.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fluminense 2-0 Argentinos Jrs
Tuesday, August 8 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Tuesday, August 8 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Internacional 3-1 River Plate (9-8 pen.)
Wednesday, August 9 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, August 9 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 39.46%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.
Result | ||
Argentinos Juniors | Draw | River Plate |
39.46% ( 0.39) | 25.87% ( -0.12) | 34.67% ( -0.27) |
Both teams to score 54.5% ( 0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.25% ( 0.49) | 49.75% ( -0.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.24% ( 0.44) | 71.75% ( -0.44) |
Argentinos Juniors Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.19% ( 0.43) | 24.81% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.61% ( 0.6) | 59.39% ( -0.59) |
River Plate Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.48% ( 0.07) | 27.52% ( -0.07) |