Malmo

5 - 0

Varbergs

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 86.79%. A draw had a probability of 9.1% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 4.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 4-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.3%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 0-1 (1.34%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.