Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 29
Oct 30, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
Paskbergsvallen
Varbergs2 - 5Malmo
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Varbergs BoIS and Malmo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mjallby AIF 4-1 Varbergs
Monday, October 24 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Monday, October 24 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Goals
for
for
26
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 56.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 20.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 1-0 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Varbergs BoIS | Draw | Malmo |
20.62% ( 0.05) | 22.56% ( 0.07) | 56.82% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 54.13% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.99% ( -0.21) | 45.01% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.64% ( -0.2) | 67.36% ( 0.21) |
| Varbergs BoIS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.15% ( -0.07) | 35.85% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.37% ( -0.07) | 72.63% ( 0.08) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.38% ( -0.11) | 15.62% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.38% ( -0.21) | 44.62% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
Varbergs BoIS 20.62%
Malmo 56.81%
Draw 22.55%
| Varbergs BoIS | Draw | Malmo |
| 1-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.87% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 1.85% Total : 20.62% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.55% | 0-1 @ 10.39% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.9% ( -0)0-2 @ 9.65% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.13% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 5.97% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.84% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.77% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.47% Total : 56.81% |
Head to Head
Jul 9, 2022 2pm
Malmo
3-0
Varbergs
Stanisic (60'), Lushaku (78'), Birkfeldt (81')
Oct 24, 2021 4.30pm
May 9, 2021 4.30pm
Nov 29, 2020 1.30pm
Varbergs
3-2
Malmo
Ayer (25'), Barny (52'), Seljmani (80')
Seljmani (34')
Seljmani (34')
Jun 21, 2020 1.30pm
Malmo
2-2
Varbergs
Johansson (9'), Norlin (75')
Fofana (60'), Birkfeldt (84')
Fofana (60'), Birkfeldt (84')
