Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Norrkoping win with a probability of 45.28%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Norrkoping win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that IFK Norrkoping would win this match.