Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Norrkoping win with a probability of 52.99%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 24.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Norrkoping win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 2-1 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.