World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Sep 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stadion im. Dolena Omurzakova
Kyrgyzstan2 - 3Uzbekistan
Kojo (15'), Abdurakhmanov (35')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia Third Round clash between Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Iran 1-0 Kyrgyzstan
Thursday, September 5 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Thursday, September 5 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Thailand | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Oman | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Kyrgyzstan | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Last Game: Uzbekistan 1-0 North Korea
Thursday, September 5 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Thursday, September 5 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Australia | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Uzbekistan | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 3 | Syria | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | India | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 56.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Kyrgyzstan had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.84%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Kyrgyzstan win it was 1-0 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Uzbekistan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kyrgyzstan | Draw | Uzbekistan |
19.7% ( -0.1) | 24.14% ( -0.01) | 56.16% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 47.83% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
