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World Cup
Uzbekistan national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Sep 5, 2024 at 3pm UK
Milliy Stadion
North Korea national football team

Uzbekistan
1 - 0
North Korea

Masharipov (20')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Uzbekistan and North Korea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uzbekistan

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Iran 0-0 Uzbekistan
Tuesday, June 11 at 6pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

North Korea

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Jordan 2-1 North Korea
Thursday, August 29 at 5pm in International Friendlies

We said: Uzbekistan 2-1 North Korea

 Uzbekistan will be full of confidence after putting together a four-game unbeaten run, and we think that they will extend that streak by claiming all three points against a country they have beaten in each of their previous three head-to-head matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 70.75%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for North Korea had a probability of 10.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.03%) and 3-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%), while for a North Korea win it was 0-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Uzbekistan would win this match.

Result
UzbekistanDrawNorth Korea
70.75% (0.082999999999998 0.08) 18.26% (0.142 0.14) 10.99% (-0.228 -0.23)
Both teams to score 45.5% (-1.26 -1.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.25% (-1.259 -1.26)44.75% (1.256 1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.88% (-1.226 -1.23)67.11% (1.223 1.22)
Uzbekistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.61% (-0.32899999999999 -0.33)11.38% (0.326 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.87% (-0.71699999999999 -0.72)36.12% (0.714 0.71)
North Korea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.34% (-1.228 -1.23)48.65% (1.224 1.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.29% (-0.9 -0.9)83.71% (0.89700000000001 0.9)
Score Analysis
    Uzbekistan 70.73%
    North Korea 10.99%
    Draw 18.26%
UzbekistanDrawNorth Korea
2-0 @ 13.07% (0.36 0.36)
1-0 @ 12.03% (0.49 0.49)
3-0 @ 9.47% (0.138 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.82% (-0.139 -0.14)
4-0 @ 5.15% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.71% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.139 -0.14)
5-0 @ 2.24% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.61% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 70.73%
1-1 @ 8.67% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.54% (0.294 0.29)
2-2 @ 3.39% (-0.144 -0.14)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 18.26%
0-1 @ 3.99% (0.079 0.08)
1-2 @ 3.12% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-2 @ 1.44% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 10.99%

How you voted: Uzbekistan vs North Korea

Uzbekistan
80.6%
Draw
11.1%
North Korea
8.3%
36
Head to Head
Jun 7, 2019 4pm
International Friendlies
Uzbekistan
4-0
North Korea
Akhmedov (29' pen.), Abdukholiqov (69'), Krimets (72'), Tursunov (91')
Oct 13, 2018 3pm
International Friendlies
Uzbekistan
2-0
North Korea
Bikmaev (37', 90')
Apr 27, 2018 10am
International Friendlies
Uzbekistan
2-2
North Korea
rhs 2.0
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