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World Cup
Indonesia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Nov 15, 2024 at 12pm UK
 
Japan national football team

Indonesia
vs.
Japan

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Indonesia and Japan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Indonesia

All competitions
Last Game: China 2-1 Indonesia
Tuesday, October 15 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Indonesia vs. Saudi Arabia
Tuesday, November 19 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Japan

All competitions
Last Game: Japan 1-1 Australia
Tuesday, October 15 at 11.35am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: China vs. Japan
Tuesday, November 19 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Indonesia 0-3 Japan

 While Indonesia are expected to put up a fight against group leaders Japan, the Samurai Blue are undeniably the superior side heading into this match, and we anticipate them to secure a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 74.25%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Indonesia had a probability of 9.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.61%) and 0-3 (10.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for a Indonesia win it was 1-0 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
IndonesiaDrawJapan
9.18% (-0.186 -0.19) 16.56% (-0.274 -0.27) 74.25% (0.45399999999999 0.45)
Both teams to score 44.34% (0.17400000000001 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.51% (0.66 0.66)42.48% (-0.666 -0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.11% (0.656 0.66)64.89% (-0.661 -0.66)
Indonesia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.2% (0.036999999999999 0.04)50.8% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.79% (0.023999999999999 0.02)85.2% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Japan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.12% (0.28 0.28)9.87% (-0.287 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.26% (0.655 0.66)32.73% (-0.661 -0.66)
Score Analysis
    Indonesia 9.18%
    Japan 74.24%
    Draw 16.56%
IndonesiaDrawJapan
1-0 @ 3.4% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-1 @ 2.66% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-0 @ 1.15% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 9.18%
1-1 @ 7.87% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-0 @ 5.02% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 3.08% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 16.56%
0-2 @ 13.44% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-1 @ 11.61% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-3 @ 10.37% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.11% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 7.03% (0.063 0.06)
0-4 @ 6.01% (0.121 0.12)
1-4 @ 4.07% (0.087 0.09)
0-5 @ 2.78% (0.09 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.38% (0.025 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.88% (0.063 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.38% (0.031 0.03)
0-6 @ 1.07% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 74.24%

How you voted: Indonesia vs Japan

Indonesia
30.7%
Draw
13.2%
Japan
56.1%
114
Head to Head
Jan 24, 2024 11.30am
Group Stage
Japan
3-1
Indonesia
Ueda (6' pen., 52'), Hubner (88' og.)
Endo (68'), Minamino (70')
Walsh (90+1')
Struick (42'), Shin (43'), Amat (77'), Hubner (78')
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