MX23RW : Thursday, January 2 17:21:50| >> :600:932566:932566:
World Cup header WWW

World Cup
Australia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Sep 5, 2024 at 11.10am UK
Cbus Super Stadium
Bahrain national football team

Australia
0 - 1
Bahrain


Rowles (58'), Circati (68'), Souttar (73')
Yengi (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Souttar (89' og.)
Al Khalasi (63'), Fadhel Abdulla Ahmed Maki Al Asfoor (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Australia and Bahrain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Australia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Australia 5-0 Palestine
Tuesday, June 11 at 1.10pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Bahrain

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: UAE 1-1 Bahrain
Tuesday, June 11 at 6pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Australia 3-1 Bahrain

 Although we expect Bahrain to pose Australia far more of a challenge than the Socceroos faced in the previous round, the home side should still have far too much quality on the Gold Coast. If Bahrain do get on the scoresheet, it could be a mere consolation at the back end of the game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Bahrain had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Bahrain win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
AustraliaDrawBahrain
44.35% (0.167 0.17) 26.19% (-0.297 -0.3) 29.46% (0.134 0.13)
Both teams to score 51.56% (0.979 0.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.32% (1.231 1.23)52.68% (-1.228 -1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.68% (1.047 1.05)74.32% (-1.042 -1.04)
Australia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.36% (0.622 0.62)23.64% (-0.617 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.26% (0.889 0.89)57.74% (-0.886 -0.89)
Bahrain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.52% (0.741 0.74)32.48% (-0.737 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31% (0.826 0.83)69.01% (-0.822 -0.82)
Score Analysis
    Australia 44.35%
    Bahrain 29.46%
    Draw 26.19%
AustraliaDrawBahrain
1-0 @ 11.07% (-0.34 -0.34)
2-1 @ 8.98% (0.072000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.99% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-1 @ 4.32% (0.112 0.11)
3-0 @ 3.84% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.11 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.067 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 44.35%
1-1 @ 12.45% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 7.68% (-0.38 -0.38)
2-2 @ 5.05% (0.14 0.14)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.19%
0-1 @ 8.64% (-0.247 -0.25)
1-2 @ 7% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.86% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.63% (0.078 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.09 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.82% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 29.46%

How you voted: Australia vs Bahrain

Australia
86.7%
Draw
10.7%
Bahrain
2.7%
75
Head to Head
Jan 6, 2024 2pm
Friendlies 1
Bahrain
0-2
Australia

Al Hardan (90')
Benaddi (35' og.), Duke (61')
Goodwin (63')
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