MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 13:40:12| >> :60:3205:3205:
South Africa national football team
Women's World Cup | Group Stage
Aug 2, 2023 at 8am UK
Westpac Stadium

S. Africa Women
3 - 2
Italy Women

Orsi (32' og.), Magaia (67'), Kgatlana (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Caruso (11' pen., 74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's World Cup clash between South Africa Women and Italy Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Argentina Women 2-2 S. Africa Women
Friday, July 28 at 1am in Women's World Cup
All competitions
Women's World Cup
Last Game: Sweden Women 5-0 Italy Women
Saturday, July 29 at 8.30am in Women's World Cup

We said: South Africa Women 1-2 Italy Women

Italy will have to pick themselves up from the disappointment of Friday's heavy defeat to Sweden, while South Africa will still be frustrated with giving up a two-goal lead against Argentina. South Africa know that only a win will do, but we think that they will be edged out by the Italians, who are looking to reach the knockout rounds at consecutive World Cups. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Women win with a probability of 87.04%. A draw had a probability of 8.9% and a win for South Africa Women had a probability of 4.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Women win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.76%) and 0-4 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.17%), while for a South Africa Women win it was 2-1 (1.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
South Africa WomenDrawItaly Women
4.06% (0.0981 0.1) 8.9% (0.185 0.19) 87.04% (-0.28 -0.28)
Both teams to score 45.15% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.81% (-0.50699999999999 -0.51)25.19% (0.509 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.84% (-0.663 -0.66)45.16% (0.667 0.67)
South Africa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.93% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)53.07% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.3% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)86.7% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Italy Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.22% (-0.119 -0.12)3.78% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
83.83% (-0.401 -0.4)16.17% (0.405 0.41)
Score Analysis
    South Africa Women 4.06%
    Italy Women 87.03%
    Draw 8.9%
South Africa WomenDrawItaly Women
2-1 @ 1.32% (0.028 0.03)
1-0 @ 1.27% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 4.06%
1-1 @ 4.17% (0.093 0.09)
2-2 @ 2.16% (0.025 0.03)
0-0 @ 2.01% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 8.9%
0-3 @ 11.75% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 10.76% (0.14 0.14)
0-4 @ 9.62% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
1-3 @ 7.44% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.82% (0.085 0.09)
0-1 @ 6.58% (0.153 0.15)
0-5 @ 6.3% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-4 @ 6.09% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-5 @ 3.99% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-6 @ 3.44% (-0.092 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.004 0)
1-6 @ 2.18% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.93% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-7 @ 1.61% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-5 @ 1.26% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-7 @ 1.02% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 87.03%

How you voted: S. Africa Women vs Italy Women

South Africa Women
30.2%
Draw
13.2%
Italy Women
56.6%
53
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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