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Women's Super League | Gameweek 17
Mar 23, 2025 at 3pm UK
King Power Stadium

Leicester
3 - 2
Brighton

O'Brien (11'), Takarada (35'), Mclauchlan (45+5' og.)
Ale (89'), Thibaud (90+6')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Haley (73'), Kirby (81' pen.)
Symonds (43'), Auee (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Leicester City Women and Brighton & Hove Albion Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 3-1 Leicester
Wednesday, March 5 at 7.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Spurs 0-1 Brighton
Sunday, March 16 at 3pm in Women's Super League

We said: Leicester City Women 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Women

Leicester have won three of their previous five home league matches, and with that in mind, we think that they could produce another strong home performance to edge out Brighton in Sunday's clash at the King Power Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City Women win with a probability of 44.23%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.23%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Women win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City Women would win this match.

Result
Leicester City WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
44.23% (-0.216 -0.22) 23.31% (0.065999999999999 0.07) 32.44% (0.148 0.15)
Both teams to score 62.84% (-0.17599999999999 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.41% (-0.256 -0.26)38.58% (0.256 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.11% (-0.273 -0.27)60.88% (0.272 0.27)
Leicester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.15% (-0.18900000000001 -0.19)17.84% (0.188 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.4% (-0.325 -0.33)48.59% (0.32400000000001 0.32)
Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.49% (-0.038000000000011 -0.04)23.5% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.45% (-0.058 -0.06)57.54% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City Women 44.23%
    Brighton & Hove Albion Women 32.44%
    Draw 23.31%
Leicester City WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
2-1 @ 9.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.23% (0.044 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.23% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 5.18% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.75% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.58% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.23% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.62% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 44.23%
1-1 @ 10.46% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.53% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.19% (0.050999999999999 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.81% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.31%
1-2 @ 7.58% (0.029 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.07% (0.067 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.4% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.66% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.15% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.12% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.32% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 32.44%

Head to Head
Nov 3, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 6
Brighton
1-0
Leicester
Parris (20')
Olislagers (43'), Vidosic (44'), Kirby (79'), Losada (90+7')
Mar 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 17
Leicester
2-3
Brighton
Rantala (54'), Petermann (84')
Kop (62' og.), Robinson (68'), Terland (85')
Terland (31'), Losada (64'), Lee (72'), Zigiotti-Olme (77')
Dec 10, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 9
Brighton
2-2
Leicester
Terland (82', 88')
Losada (65'), Terland (71')
Petermann (45'), Rantala (46')
Green (17'), Whelan (90+1')
May 27, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
Brighton
0-1
Leicester

Lee (31'), Symonds (64')
Baker (73')
Bott (27')
Jan 15, 2023 3pm
rhs 2.0
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