MX23RW : Friday, December 27 05:14:34| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 20
Dec 26, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
The KYMCO Stadium

Pen-y-Bont
1 - 3
Cardiff MU

Owen (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Chubb (10'), Jones (62'), Baker (77')
Craven (67'), Lang (75')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Cardiff MU.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions
Last Game: Pontypridd 0-1 Pen-y-Bont
Friday, December 23 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Cardiff MU

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff MU 2-1 Newtown
Thursday, December 22 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff MU would win this match.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawCardiff MU
35.21% (0.151 0.15) 26.57% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 38.21% (-0.186 -0.19)
Both teams to score 52.22% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.31% (-0.123 -0.12)52.68% (0.119 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.67% (-0.106 -0.11)74.32% (0.10300000000001 0.1)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.39% (0.033000000000001 0.03)28.61% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.59% (0.042999999999999 0.04)64.41% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.15% (-0.163 -0.16)26.84% (0.16 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.85% (-0.212 -0.21)62.14% (0.209 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 35.21%
    Cardiff MU 38.2%
    Draw 26.57%
Pen-y-BontDrawCardiff MU
1-0 @ 9.61% (0.055 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.91% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.01% (0.041 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.3% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.51% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.03% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 35.21%
1-1 @ 12.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.68% (0.036 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.57%
0-1 @ 10.09%
1-2 @ 8.31% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.64% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.64% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.91% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.2% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 38.2%

Head to Head
Nov 9, 2021 7.45pm
Pen-y-Bont
2-1
Cardiff MU
Davies (63'), Harling (79')
Davies (11')
Evans (33'), Evans (43'), McCarthy (58')
Aug 31, 2021 7.45pm
Cardiff MU
3-2
Pen-y-Bont
Roscrow (36'), Evans (55' pen.), Owen (64')
Lang (89')
Wood (4'), Clutton (90')
Davies (52'), Clutton (70'), Reynolds (90+4')
Dec 15, 2020 7.45pm
Pen-y-Bont
1-0
Cardiff MU
Harling (30')
Morris (45'), Davies (52'), Harris (54'), Wood (81')

Woolridge (9'), Corsby (53')
Sep 30, 2020 7.45pm
Cardiff MU
0-1
Pen-y-Bont

Davies (11'), Rees (13'), Baker (34'), Evans (75'), Corsby (81')

Yakubu (17'), (79')
Apr 17, 2020 7.45pm
Cardiff MU
P-P
Pen-y-Bont
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont19134237132443
2The New SaintsNew Saints19140555243142
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest199642291333
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU209473025531
5Bala TownBala Town2061132619729
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon208483035-528
7Barry Town UnitedBarry208483137-628
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay1975731211026
9Newtown AFCNewtown1954102240-1819
10Briton Ferry1952122639-1317
11Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2052132544-1917
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2042141746-2914
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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