Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 9
Apr 13, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park
Newtown5 - 0Caernarfon
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Caernarfon Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bala Town 1-1 Newtown
Friday, April 5 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, April 5 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 7-1 Caernarfon
Friday, April 5 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, April 5 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 50.88%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 26.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.36%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.
Result | ||
Newtown AFC | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
50.88% ( -0.69) | 22.23% ( 0.26) | 26.89% ( 0.43) |
Both teams to score 63.04% ( -0.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.25% ( -0.91) | 36.74% ( 0.91) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.09% ( -1) | 58.91% ( 1) |
Newtown AFC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.29% ( -0.55) | 14.71% ( 0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.1% ( -1.07) | 42.9% ( 1.07) |
Caernarfon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.91% ( -0.18) | 26.09% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.85% ( -0.24) | 61.14% ( 0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Newtown AFC 50.88%
Caernarfon Town 26.89%
Draw 22.23%
Newtown AFC | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.05% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.07) Other @ 4.26% Total : 50.88% | 1-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.23% | 1-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.3% Total : 26.89% |
Head to Head
Mar 1, 2024 7.45pm
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Caernarfon
2-3
Newtown
O'Rourke (30'), Edwards (62')
Robles (8'), Williams (27'), Rushton (53')
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Newtown
2-1
Caernarfon
Rushton (3'), Williams (23')
Wynne (55')
Williams (49'), Wynne (73')
Williams (49'), Wynne (73')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 12 | 23 | 40 |
2 | The New SaintsNew Saints | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 50 | 22 | 28 | 39 |
3 | Cardiff MUCardiff MU | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 31 |
4 | Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 30 |
5 | Bala TownBala Town | 19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 28 |
6 | Caernarfon TownCaernarfon | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 28 |
7 | Barry Town UnitedBarry | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 28 |
8 | Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Newtown AFCNewtown | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 19 |
10 | Flint Town UnitedFlint Town | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 17 |
11 | Briton Ferry | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 14 |
12 | Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth | 19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 17 | 46 | -29 | 13 |
> Welsh Premier League Full Table |
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