Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 45.39%. A win for Druids had a probability of 29.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Druids win was 1-0 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.
