Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberystwyth Town win with a probability of 54.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Druids had a probability of 22.55%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Druids win it was 1-2 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberystwyth Town would win this match.