Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Druids win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Druids win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.