Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mariupol win with a probability of 36.71%. A win for Minai had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mariupol win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Minai win was 1-0 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mariupol would win this match.
