Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 64.25%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for BB Erzurumspor had a probability of 15.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a BB Erzurumspor win it was 1-2 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.