Serie B | Gameweek 21
Jan 21, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Paolo Mazza
SPAL1 - 1Ascoli
Coverage of the Serie B clash between SPAL and Ascoli.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Reggina 0-1 SPAL
Saturday, January 14 at 1pm in Serie B
Saturday, January 14 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Ternana 1-0 Ascoli
Sunday, January 15 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Sunday, January 15 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SPAL | Draw | Ascoli |
38.3% ( -0.09) | 26.97% ( -0.04) | 34.72% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 50.89% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
