Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggina win with a probability of 37.43%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reggina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.56%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 1-0 (11.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Reggina in this match.