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Serie A | Gameweek 13
Nov 26, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Sardegna Arena
Monza

Cagliari
1 - 1
Monza

Dossena (10')
Prati (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Maric (61')
Birindelli (48'), Pepin (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventus 2-1 Cagliari
Saturday, November 11 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-1 Torino
Saturday, November 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Cagliari 1-1 Monza

Monza rarely score more than once, but that should be good enough for a point in Cagliari, as only three Serie A sides have conceded fewer goals than the Biancorossi this season. Meanwhile, the hosts can keep momentum building by extending their unbeaten streak in Sardinia, which may even edge them out of the drop zone. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 45.43%. A win for Monza had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
CagliariDrawMonza
45.43% (-0.362 -0.36) 25.56% (0.41 0.41) 29% (-0.044 -0.04)
Both teams to score 53.26% (-1.335 -1.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.65% (-1.731 -1.73)50.35% (1.735 1.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.71% (-1.554 -1.55)72.29% (1.558 1.56)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.86% (-0.886 -0.89)22.14% (0.89 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.48% (-1.356 -1.36)55.52% (1.36 1.36)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.4% (-0.92400000000001 -0.92)31.6% (0.928 0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.99% (-1.078 -1.08)68.01% (1.082 1.08)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 45.43%
    Monza 29%
    Draw 25.56%
CagliariDrawMonza
1-0 @ 10.54% (0.45 0.45)
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
2-0 @ 7.95% (0.135 0.14)
3-1 @ 4.61% (-0.165 -0.17)
3-0 @ 4% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.166 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.74% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 45.43%
1-1 @ 12.15% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 7% (0.478 0.48)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.182 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.56%
0-1 @ 8.06% (0.356 0.36)
1-2 @ 7% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.64% (0.091 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.69% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 29%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Monza

Cagliari
33.9%
Draw
33.9%
Monza
32.2%
59
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli19142330121844
2Atalanta BCAtalanta18132343202341
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio1911263327635
5Juventus18711030151532
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7Bologna177732521428
8AC Milan177642617927
9Udinese197482328-525
10Roma196582624223
11Torino195681924-521
12Empoli194871822-420
13Genoa194871627-1120
14Parma194782534-919
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1961122442-1819
16Como184682030-1018
17CagliariCagliari1945101832-1417
18Lecce1945101131-2017
19VeneziaVenezia1935111832-1414
20Monza1917111727-1010


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