Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cove Rangers would win this match.
