Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Raith Rovers | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
45.18% ( 0.23) | 24.25% ( 0.03) | 30.58% ( -0.26) |
Both teams to score 58.56% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.17% ( -0.28) | 43.83% ( 0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.79% ( -0.27) | 66.22% ( 0.28) |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.44% ( -0.02) | 19.56% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.53% ( -0.03) | 51.48% ( 0.04) |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.79% ( -0.3) | 27.21% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.38% ( -0.4) | 62.63% ( 0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Raith Rovers | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.11% Total : 45.18% | 1-1 @ 11.3% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.25% | 1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.99% Total : 30.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 14 | 20 | 41 |
2 | Livingston | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 36 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 29 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 21 |
7 | Greenock MortonMorton | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 19 |
8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 18 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 36 | -28 | 6 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |