Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 43.01%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.49%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Raith Rovers | Draw | Falkirk |
33.3% ( 7.94) | 23.69% ( 0.01) | 43.01% ( -7.95) |
Both teams to score 61.79% ( 5.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.88% ( 4.69) | 40.12% ( -4.69) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.51% ( 4.68) | 62.49% ( -4.68) |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.25% ( 7.75) | 23.75% ( -7.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.11% ( 9.99) | 57.89% ( -9.99) |
Falkirk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.03% ( -1.34) | 18.97% ( 1.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.49% ( -2.28) | 50.51% ( 2.29) |
Score Analysis |
Raith Rovers | Draw | Falkirk |
2-1 @ 7.74% ( 1.31) 1-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.95) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( 1.23) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.93) 3-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.81) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.62) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.49) Other @ 2.96% Total : 33.3% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.85) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( -1.05) 3-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.46) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.69% | 1-2 @ 8.95% ( -0.71) 0-1 @ 7.49% ( -2.15) 0-2 @ 6.22% ( -2.14) 1-3 @ 4.96% ( -0.63) 2-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.34) 0-3 @ 3.45% ( -1.39) 1-4 @ 2.06% ( -0.37) 2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.67) Other @ 3.4% Total : 43.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 14 | 20 | 41 |
2 | Livingston | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 36 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 29 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 21 |
7 | Greenock MortonMorton | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 19 |
8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 18 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 36 | -28 | 6 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |