Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Airdrieonians | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
44.28% ( 0.43) | 24.15% ( -0) | 31.57% ( -0.43) |
Both teams to score 59.41% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.08% ( -0.16) | 42.92% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.68% ( -0.16) | 65.32% ( 0.15) |
Airdrieonians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.42% ( 0.12) | 19.57% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.5% ( 0.2) | 51.49% ( -0.2) |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.87% ( -0.34) | 26.12% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.81% ( -0.46) | 61.19% ( 0.46) |
Score Analysis |
Airdrieonians | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 3.13% Total : 44.28% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.14% | 1-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 6.86% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.38% Total : 31.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 14 | 20 | 41 |
2 | Livingston | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 36 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 29 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 21 |
7 | Greenock MortonMorton | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 19 |
8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 18 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 36 | -28 | 6 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |