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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 20
Mar 18, 2023 at 9am UK
Stadion Gazovik

Orenburg
2 - 0
Spartak Moscow

Kavalyow (17'), Vorobyev (23')
Vorobyev (4'), Sivakov (39'), Sysuev (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Zinkovskiy (37'), Sobolev (45+5'), Litvinov (55')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Orenburg and Spartak Moscow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orenburg

All competitions
Last Game: Sochi 0-4 Orenburg
Friday, March 10 at 4pm in Russian Premier League

Spartak Moscow

All competitions
Last Game: Spartak Moscow 3-2 Fakel
Saturday, March 11 at 1.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 51.93%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 24.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 2-1 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
OrenburgDrawSpartak Moscow
24.81% (-1.569 -1.57) 23.27% (-0.098000000000003 -0.1) 51.93% (1.671 1.67)
Both teams to score 57.24% (-1.245 -1.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.53% (-0.928 -0.93)43.47% (0.931 0.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.14% (-0.919 -0.92)65.86% (0.922 0.92)
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.78% (-1.724 -1.72)31.22% (1.726 1.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.43% (-2.055 -2.06)67.57% (2.057 2.06)
Spartak Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.22% (0.268 0.27)16.78% (-0.267 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.28% (0.476 0.48)46.73% (-0.474 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Orenburg 24.81%
    Spartak Moscow 51.93%
    Draw 23.26%
OrenburgDrawSpartak Moscow
2-1 @ 6.34% (-0.294 -0.29)
1-0 @ 6.1% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 3.55% (-0.198 -0.2)
3-1 @ 2.46% (-0.24 -0.24)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.193 -0.19)
3-0 @ 1.38% (-0.148 -0.15)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 24.81%
1-1 @ 10.88% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-0 @ 5.24% (0.211 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.26%
1-2 @ 9.72% (0.108 0.11)
0-1 @ 9.35% (0.456 0.46)
0-2 @ 8.35% (0.477 0.48)
1-3 @ 5.78% (0.114 0.11)
0-3 @ 4.97% (0.325 0.32)
2-3 @ 3.37% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-4 @ 2.58% (0.073 0.07)
0-4 @ 2.22% (0.164 0.16)
2-4 @ 1.5% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-5 @ 0.92% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 51.93%

Head to Head
Jul 31, 2022 3.30pm
Spartak Moscow
4-1
Orenburg
Martins Pereira (2'), Sobolev (12'), Promes (38', 90+4')
Khlusevich (80')
Basic (55')
Sivakov (21'), Oganesyan (61'), Ektov (87'), Khotulev (90+4')
Mar 14, 2020 11am
Orenburg
1-3
Spartak Moscow
Fameyeh (17')
Terekhov (45'), Miskic (56')
Ponce (44'), Larsson (71'), Mirzov (90')
Maslov (29'), Markitesov (45'), Lucas (90')
Sep 29, 2019 2.30pm
Spartak Moscow
1-2
Orenburg
Melgarejo (65')
Kutepov (6'), Bakaev (93')
Malykh (45'), Despotovic (63')
Terekhov (21'), Miskic (33')
Miskic (71')
May 26, 2019 12pm
Orenburg
2-0
Spartak Moscow
Alves (8'), Kulishev (94')
Popovic (11'), Despotovic (12'), Malykh (78'), Dovbnya (90'), Kulishev (95')

Guliev (27'), Melgarejo (78')
May 25, 2019
1am
Orenburg  
vs.
  Spartak Moscow
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC KrasnodarKrasnodar18116134122239
2Zenit St PetersburgZenit18123337122539
3Spartak Moscow18114336142237
4Dynamo Moscow18105337201735
5Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv1811253326735
6CSKA MoscowCSKA1894528141431
7RostovRostov187562928126
8Rubin Kazan187562526-126
9Akron TolyattiAkron186482234-1222
10Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1853101929-1018
11Dynamo MakhachkalaMakhachkala183871117-617
12Nizhny Novgorod1844101534-1916
13KhimkiKhimki183782235-1316
14Fakel182881125-1414
15Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny182791632-1613
16OrenburgOrenburg1815121633-178
> Russian Premier League Full Table


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