Setubal2 - 3Pacos de Ferreira
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Vitoria de Setubal had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Vitoria de Setubal win was 1-0 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pacos de Ferreira would win this match.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Setubal | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
29.31% | 27.5% | 43.19% |
Both teams to score 47.6% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.27% | 57.73% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.52% | 78.47% |
Vitoria de Setubal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.75% | 35.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.99% | 72.01% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.51% | 26.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.32% | 61.68% |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Setubal | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
1-0 @ 9.74% 2-1 @ 6.74% 2-0 @ 5.08% 3-1 @ 2.34% 3-0 @ 1.76% 3-2 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.09% Total : 29.31% | 1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 9.34% 2-2 @ 4.48% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.5% | 0-1 @ 12.4% 1-2 @ 8.59% 0-2 @ 8.24% 1-3 @ 3.8% 0-3 @ 3.65% 2-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 1.26% 0-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.04% Total : 43.18% |
Fernandes (61'), Allef (79'), Pedrosa (90')