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Premier League | Gameweek 37
May 11, 2024 at 3pm UK
London Stadium
Luton Town

West Ham
3 - 1
Luton

Ward-Prowse (54'), Soucek (65'), Earthy (76')
Palmieri (52')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sambi Lokonga (6')
Barkley (10'), Burke (79'), Morris (83')

The Match

Match Report

Luton Town's Premier League survival chances are left in tatters courtesy of a 3-1 defeat to West Ham United at the London Stadium.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between West Ham United and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 1-1 Everton
Friday, May 3 at 8pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 64.05%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 17.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 3-1 (7.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-2 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
West Ham UnitedDrawLuton Town
64.05% (-0.562 -0.56) 18.68% (0.221 0.22) 17.26% (0.339 0.34)
Both teams to score 61.75% (-0.098000000000006 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.82% (-0.453 -0.45)32.18% (0.452 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.23% (-0.532 -0.53)53.77% (0.529 0.53)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.43% (-0.258 -0.26)9.57% (0.2569 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.98% (-0.60600000000001 -0.61)32.02% (0.603 0.6)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.28% (0.084000000000003 0.08)31.72% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.86% (0.093999999999998 0.09)68.14% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    West Ham United 64.06%
    Luton Town 17.26%
    Draw 18.68%
West Ham UnitedDrawLuton Town
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.36% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.51% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-0 @ 7.12% (0.092 0.09)
3-0 @ 6.54% (-0.065 -0.06)
4-1 @ 4.4% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-2 @ 4.31% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.84% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-2 @ 2.53% (-0.043 -0.04)
5-1 @ 2.07% (-0.064 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.8% (-0.061 -0.06)
5-2 @ 1.19% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-3 @ 0.97% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 64.06%
1-1 @ 8.18% (0.124 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.51% (0.033 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.04% (0.074 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 18.68%
1-2 @ 4.7% (0.082 0.08)
0-1 @ 3.49% (0.092 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.11% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 2% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.8% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 17.26%

How you voted: West Ham vs Luton

West Ham United
58.9%
Draw
25.3%
Luton Town
15.8%
158
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 4
Luton
1-2
West Ham
Andersen (90+2')
Nakamba (87')
Bowen (37'), Zouma (85')
Palmieri (81')
Jul 23, 2022 3pm
Club Friendlies
Luton
1-1
West Ham
Bradley (90')
Soucek (27')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
6Chelsea21107441261537
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


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