Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 64.05%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 17.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 3-1 (7.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-2 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.
Result | ||
West Ham United | Draw | Luton Town |
64.05% ( -0.56) | 18.68% ( 0.22) | 17.26% ( 0.34) |
Both teams to score 61.75% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.82% ( -0.45) | 32.18% ( 0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.23% ( -0.53) | 53.77% ( 0.53) |
West Ham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.43% ( -0.26) | 9.57% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.98% ( -0.61) | 32.02% ( 0.6) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.28% ( 0.08) | 31.72% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.86% ( 0.09) | 68.14% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
West Ham United | Draw | Luton Town |
2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.06) 5-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.03) 4-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.84% Total : 64.06% | 1-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 18.68% | 1-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.18% Total : 17.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 50 |
2 | Arsenal | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 43 | 21 | 22 | 44 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 44 |
4 | Manchester CityMan City | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 38 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 38 |
6 | Chelsea | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 37 |
7 | Bournemouth | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 37 |
8 | Aston Villa | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 36 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
10 | Fulham | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 33 |
11 | Brentford | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 28 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 27 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 26 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 26 |
15 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 45 | 35 | 10 | 24 |
16 | Everton | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 16 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 16 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 14 |
20 | Southampton | 22 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 50 | -35 | 6 |
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