Nott'm Forest0 - 2Man City
The Match
Match Report
Team News
Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, April 21 at 1.30pm in Premier League
Thursday, April 25 at 8pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 69.19%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 13.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.5%) and 1-3 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.77%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 2-1 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Manchester City |
13.59% ( -0.46) | 17.22% ( 0.09) | 69.19% ( 0.37) |
Both teams to score 57.84% ( -1.76) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.07% ( -1.59) | 32.93% ( 1.59) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.36% ( -1.85) | 54.64% ( 1.85) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.29% ( -1.69) | 36.71% ( 1.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.5% ( -1.73) | 73.5% ( 1.73) |
Manchester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.39% ( -0.33) | 8.61% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.28% ( -0.81) | 29.72% ( 0.81) |
Score Analysis |
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Manchester City |
2-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.05% Total : 13.59% | 1-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.26) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.22% Total : 17.22% | 1-2 @ 9.52% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 9.5% ( 0.5) 1-3 @ 7.79% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 7.77% ( 0.3) 0-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.52) 1-4 @ 4.77% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 4.76% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.21) 2-4 @ 2.39% ( -0.17) 1-5 @ 2.34% ( -0.09) 0-5 @ 2.34% ( 0.02) 2-5 @ 1.17% ( -0.1) 1-6 @ 0.96% ( -0.05) 0-6 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.27% Total : 69.19% |