Premier League | Gameweek 8
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
Burnley1 - 4Chelsea
The Match
Match Report
Raheem Sterling leads Chelsea's comeback to beat Burnley 4-1 at Turf Moor, helping The Blues to back-to-back league wins for the first time since March.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Burnley and Chelsea.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Burnley and Chelsea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Chelsea could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Burnley.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Chelsea's injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Burnley.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Luton 1-2 Burnley
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 0-2 Chelsea
Monday, October 2 at 8pm in Premier League
Monday, October 2 at 8pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Burnley win was 2-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Chelsea |
32.43% ( 0.03) | 24.26% ( -0.01) | 43.3% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 59.39% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.88% ( 0.04) | 43.11% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.48% ( 0.04) | 65.51% ( -0.04) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.31% ( 0.03) | 25.69% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.39% ( 0.05) | 60.6% ( -0.05) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.92% ( 0.01) | 20.08% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.69% ( 0.01) | 52.31% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Burnley 32.43%
Chelsea 43.3%
Draw 24.26%
| Burnley | Draw | Chelsea |
| 2-1 @ 7.65% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.01% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.76% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.47% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.16% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 32.43% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.26% | 1-2 @ 9.04% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.84% 0-3 @ 3.56% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.29% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.94% 0-4 @ 1.43% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 2.97% Total : 43.3% |
How you voted: Burnley vs Chelsea
Burnley
19.1%Draw
12.4%Chelsea
68.5%178
Form Guide
Build-up
Chelsea team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Burnley
Sports Mole rounds up Chelsea's injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Burnley.
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Chelsea 'receive Moises Caicedo boost ahead of Burnley clash'
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How Chelsea could line up against Burnley
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Chelsea could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Burnley.
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Chelsea handed triple injury boost ahead of Burnley game
Head coach Mauricio Pochettino delivers a positive injury update on three Chelsea players ahead of Saturday's Premier League fixture at Burnley.
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Chelsea looking to extend Premier League record against Burnley
Chelsea will be looking to extend a Premier League record when they square off against Burnley at Turf Moor on Saturday afternoon.
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