

Burnley1 - 4Chelsea
The Match
Match Report
Team News
Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Monday, October 2 at 8pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Burnley win was 2-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
Result | ||
Burnley | Draw | Chelsea |
32.43% (![]() | 24.26% (![]() | 43.3% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.39% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.88% (![]() | 43.11% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.48% (![]() | 65.51% (![]() |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.31% (![]() | 25.69% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.39% (![]() | 60.6% (![]() |
Chelsea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.92% (![]() | 20.08% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.69% (![]() | 52.31% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Burnley | Draw | Chelsea |
2-1 @ 7.65% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.01% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.76% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.47% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.78% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.16% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 2.48% Total : 32.43% | 1-1 @ 11.25% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.14% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.16% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.49% ( ![]() Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.26% | 1-2 @ 9.04% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.28% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.65% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.84% 0-3 @ 3.56% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.29% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.94% 0-4 @ 1.43% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.32% ( ![]() Other @ 2.97% Total : 43.3% |
How you voted: Burnley vs Chelsea




